Public Forward Test
Every number elsewhere on this site is a backtest - a claim about the past, made after the fact. This page is the other thing. The live signal card below publishes each trade’s direction while it is open, before anyone knows how it ends. This is the running tally of how those calls finished.
It started at zero on August 21, 2026 and grows only as fast as real trades close. That is the point - a record that can be checked cannot be invented.
Public forward-test rules
How each figure is defined, the backtest settings and their known limitations are in the methodology. The complete closed-trade dataset can be downloaded as a CSV.
Proven Performance
A transparent record on real XAU/USD prices - the current year up top, and the full 14-year history below. Wins and losses.
2026 year-to-date · earned from Jan 1, 2026 across 456 closed trades - every win and loss included.Up to August 21, 2026 this is backtest; from then on it is live closed trades.
2026 year-to-date · 456 closed trades (open positions excluded) on the standard gold pip ($0.10 = 1 pip), including every leg of a layered setup. Results on raw ECN pricing.
Long Trades
Short Trades
Overall (All Trades)
Every Trade, Logged
Every entry, recovery bank, and runner leg - logged the moment it closes. 967 legs on record: 528W / 437L / 2BE - a 54.7% win rate, break-evens excluded.
Updating live - new closes appear here automatically
- +534.2pBE1 RunnerWINOct 27 ET
- +764.1pRecovery A1WINOct 27 ET
- +895.3pMain TradeWINOct 22 ET
- +537.8pBE1 RunnerWINOct 22 ET
- -429.5pMain TradeLOSSOct 14 ET
Backtested / hypothetical results
The year-by-year results below are simulated fills generated by the TradingView Strategy Tester on real historical XAU/USD price data - they are not live broker trades. Hypothetical performance has inherent limitations: it is produced with the benefit of hindsight, does not involve real capital or live execution, and cannot fully account for spread, commission, overnight swap, slippage, liquidity, or market impact (large simulated position sizes in particular may not fill at the prices shown). No representation is being made that any account will, or is likely to, achieve profits or losses similar to these. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
14-Year Performance
The Strategy, Stress-Tested Year by Year
14 years of 5-minute XAU/USD data (2012-2026) on raw ECN pricing, compounding from a $200K starting account. Dollar P&L grows over time because position size scales with equity.
This is not a real account. The dollar column is a hypothetical compounding model - the pip record applied to a position size that scales with equity, starting from $200K. No account grew this way. It does not reflect variable spreads, slippage, execution delays, commissions, or the market impact of trading at that size. Judge the record in pips; pips do not compound.
Tap any year to see every trade behind it, one by one.
| Year | Pips | Net P&L | Return | Trades | Win Rate | Year-End Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012* | +2,526p | +$29.7K | +14.9% | 8 | 62.5% | $230K |
| 2013 | +5,448p | +$94.5K | +41.1% | 34 | 58.8% | $324K |
| 2014 | +1,800p | +$40.0K | +12.3% | 13 | 53.8% | $364K |
| 2015 | +4,995p | +$173.4K | +47.6% | 12 | 75.0% | $538K |
| 2016 | +2,246p | +$55.6K | +10.3% | 18 | 44.4% | $593K |
| 2017 | -2,547p | -$113.9K | -19.2% | 8 | 12.5% | $479K |
| 2018 | +1,974p | +$76.4K | +15.9% | 5 | 80.0% | $556K |
| 2019 | +2,300p | +$101.0K | +18.2% | 13 | 53.8% | $657K |
| 2020 | +16,757p | +$1.02M | +155.4% | 42 | 76.2% | $1.68M |
| 2021 | +7,936p | +$846.1K | +50.4% | 32 | 59.4% | $2.52M |
| 2022 | +5,372p | +$716.2K | +28.4% | 40 | 55.0% | $3.24M |
| 2023 | +3,452p | +$566.6K | +17.5% | 34 | 50.0% | $3.81M |
| 2024 | -4,064p | -$706.2K | -18.6% | 66 | 31.8% | $3.10M |
| 2025 | +22,812p | +$2.76M | +89.1% | 186 | 49.5% | $5.86M |
| 2026* | +85,869p | +$28.93M | +493.4% | 456 | 58.1% | $34.79M |
| 14 yrs | +156,876p | +$34.59M | +17,295% | 967 | 54.7% | $34.79M |
Same gold · same 14 years · not the same result
Simply buying and holding gold over this stretch made money - but in the same backtest QP beat buy-and-hold by +$34.25M. The edge came from selective entries and automated recovery working the dips and the rips - not just a rising market.
* 2012 starts Jun 29 (partial). The current year is still running and updates as each trade closes. Where the boundary falls: everything up to August 21, 2026 is backtest, everything after it is live closed trades; the row and the 14-year totals recompute from the running pip count, compounded on a $200K start. No figure before that date ever changes. Trades are grouped by exit date. Returns are calculated on equity at the start of each year.
Disclaimer: These figures are drawn from 14 years of historical 5-minute XAU/USD data (raw ECN pricing, since 2012) up to August 21, 2026, plus live closed trades after it, and don't account for slippage, spread variations, or execution delays - so past performance doesn't guarantee future results. Trading gold carries a substantial risk of loss; only trade with capital you can afford to lose.
A free peek at the live position
The direction of the open trade and its floating pips, in real time, with no signup. It is published while the trade is still live - before anyone knows how it ends. Members get the entry, stops, targets and the recovery ladder.
The number above is the MAIN entry only, and it is unrealized - it moves with the market until the trade closes. A setup can hold more than one leg: the main entry plus recovery adds. That is why "recovery stop moved to break-even" can be true at the same moment this number is negative - it means THAT leg can no longer lose, and says nothing about this one. Break-even describes where a stop now sits, never what a trade is currently worth. XAU/USD spot; your broker's price may differ slightly. Not financial advice.
See the full record→The rules, so you can hold us to them
- 1.Direction is published while the trade is open, on the card above and in the free channel. Nothing is added to this page after the fact.
- 2.Entry and exit prices appear as soon as the setup is closed. The move is over by then, so the level cannot be traded - but every call becomes checkable against a chart immediately, with no window in which anyone could have chosen what to show.
- 3.Every closed leg appears here, winners and losers, automatically, from the same live log that feeds the trade log and the Telegram recaps. There is no step where anyone chooses what to include.
Running 68 days · win rate excludes break-even closes, same as everywhere else on this site
The record
What this page does and does not claim
It claims: the direction of each of these trades was public before the trade finished, and this is every one of them.
It does not claim the entry price was public in advance. It was not - that is what members pay for. What it does cover is every closed leg: the entry, any second-chance re-entry, each recovery add and the BE1 runner. All of them are listed publicly on the trade log with their direction, entry, exit and result, so this figure and that page describe the same set of trades rather than two different ones.
It is not verified by a third party. It is our own log of our own signals. A read‑only broker verification is the next thing on this list, and until it exists this page is evidence, not proof.
See the whole record
These are one record split into views. Any single one of them, read alone, is misleading.
Pips today, this week and this month, with the month-by-month breakdown underneath. Recomputed from the log every time the page loads.
The raw record: direction, pips, entry and exit for every trade that has closed. Winners and losers, nothing filtered out.
+156,875.9 pips, 1.97 profit factor, and where the profit actually comes from - with an honest note on how much of it is one year.
-10,809 pips, 363 days underwater, and the worst year in full. Every bad number in the record, with dates you can check.
Trading gold can lose you money, including all of it. A short forward test is a small sample and tells you very little on its own - see the risk disclosure and the worst of it.